In financial forecasting, where navigating uncertainties is crucial for informed decision-making, risk management plays an essential role. Large datasets and market fluctuations can lead to inaccurate forecasts and significant losses. Fortunately, artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms offer promising solutions. The Random Forest Model, a commonly used machine learning algorithm, has the potential to alleviate these issues. Unlike conventional models that rely on a single algorithm, Random Forest aggregates multiple decision trees, each analysing a subset of data and identifying key variables. Averaging the predictions using this method appeared to reduce bias, improve accuracy, and make it adept at handling messy financial data. This paper aims to provide an in-depth analysis of Random Forest’s potential in financial forecasting and risk management, especially evaluating its effectiveness and practicality in the field.

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Machine Learning for Predictive Risk Analytics in Industry 4.0: A Comprehensive Random Forest Evaluation

  • Oliver J. Asante,
  • Enrico W. Rusliem,
  • Yue Pan,
  • Michelle A. Basarah,
  • Cashmere B. R. Alin,
  • Guangfeng Zhang,
  • Yi Chen

摘要

In financial forecasting, where navigating uncertainties is crucial for informed decision-making, risk management plays an essential role. Large datasets and market fluctuations can lead to inaccurate forecasts and significant losses. Fortunately, artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms offer promising solutions. The Random Forest Model, a commonly used machine learning algorithm, has the potential to alleviate these issues. Unlike conventional models that rely on a single algorithm, Random Forest aggregates multiple decision trees, each analysing a subset of data and identifying key variables. Averaging the predictions using this method appeared to reduce bias, improve accuracy, and make it adept at handling messy financial data. This paper aims to provide an in-depth analysis of Random Forest’s potential in financial forecasting and risk management, especially evaluating its effectiveness and practicality in the field.