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In Chap. 3 , we introduced a sequential voting model that is similar to a Keynesian beauty contest and considered the Pólya urn model as an analog herder. Herders vote for each candidate with probabilities that are proportional to the candidates’ votes. We can consider the extreme herders who always choose the candidate with majority of the previous votes, which is visible to them. We refer to these herders as digital herders.

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Nonlinear Pólya Urn Model and Phase Transitions

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  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Masato Hisakado

摘要

In Chap. 3 , we introduced a sequential voting model that is similar to a Keynesian beauty contest and considered the Pólya urn model as an analog herder. Herders vote for each candidate with probabilities that are proportional to the candidates’ votes. We can consider the extreme herders who always choose the candidate with majority of the previous votes, which is visible to them. We refer to these herders as digital herders.