As the events of the Russian war in Ukraine show, the resilience of the local communities in the regions of the conflict zone and frontline regions as the ability of de-occupied communities to recover is not equal. Given the hybrid nature of modern war, its informational and manipulative component, as well as the genuine threats posed by missile and drone attacks on the territory of Ukraine, there are currently no completely safe communities. The main goal of this article is to identify the factors of local resilience and find those crucial for conflict resolution and recovery of the region. Historical examples of local resilience in conflict zones, such as the Croatian War of Independence (1991–1995), are analyzed. The construction of the Local Resilience Index is an assessment of the sustainability of different regions, focusing on different aspects such as governance efficiency, economic factors, security assessment, and social capital. The primary source for calculating the index is the data from sociological studies conducted in 2023 on representative samples in different regions of Ukraine.

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Community Resilience in Conflict Zones: Identifying Key Factors for Conflict Resolution and Recovery Potential

  • Olena Akimova,
  • Anna Ishchenko,
  • Iurii Perga

摘要

As the events of the Russian war in Ukraine show, the resilience of the local communities in the regions of the conflict zone and frontline regions as the ability of de-occupied communities to recover is not equal. Given the hybrid nature of modern war, its informational and manipulative component, as well as the genuine threats posed by missile and drone attacks on the territory of Ukraine, there are currently no completely safe communities. The main goal of this article is to identify the factors of local resilience and find those crucial for conflict resolution and recovery of the region. Historical examples of local resilience in conflict zones, such as the Croatian War of Independence (1991–1995), are analyzed. The construction of the Local Resilience Index is an assessment of the sustainability of different regions, focusing on different aspects such as governance efficiency, economic factors, security assessment, and social capital. The primary source for calculating the index is the data from sociological studies conducted in 2023 on representative samples in different regions of Ukraine.