Crowd flow prediction has significant implications for public safety, transportation resource scheduling, and urban transportation planning. This problem involves forecasting future crowd flow by analyzing spatio-temporal features from historical data. In this paper, we present an attention-based deep learning model called STA for city crowd flow prediction. By utilizing the attention mechanism, STA effectively extracts spatio-temporal features from historical data, with its effectiveness confirmed through the MCTP trend evaluation index. Through contrast learning, we demonstrate STA’s ability to effectively capture spatio-temporal dependencies in historical data. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets highlight STA’s advancements. It exceeds the state-of-the-art baseline, demonstrating a performance improvement of 6%-12%.

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STA: Enhancing Spatio-temporal Crowd Flow Prediction Using Attention-based Deep Learning and Feature Similarity

  • Xiujuan Xu,
  • RenJie Liu,
  • Jiaxin Ai,
  • Yu Liu,
  • Xiaowei Zhao

摘要

Crowd flow prediction has significant implications for public safety, transportation resource scheduling, and urban transportation planning. This problem involves forecasting future crowd flow by analyzing spatio-temporal features from historical data. In this paper, we present an attention-based deep learning model called STA for city crowd flow prediction. By utilizing the attention mechanism, STA effectively extracts spatio-temporal features from historical data, with its effectiveness confirmed through the MCTP trend evaluation index. Through contrast learning, we demonstrate STA’s ability to effectively capture spatio-temporal dependencies in historical data. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets highlight STA’s advancements. It exceeds the state-of-the-art baseline, demonstrating a performance improvement of 6%-12%.