Composite Inflammatory Indices from Peripheral Blood Tests for Early Prediction of EBV-Associated Hemophagocytic Lymphohistiocytosis in Children
摘要
Objective: To evaluate the predictive value of 12 composite inflammatory indices for early identification of Epstein-Barr virus-associated hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (EBV-HLH) in children. Methods: This retrospective study analyzed 3,431 children with EBV infection (2,917 with EBV-IM and 514 with EBV-HLH). Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were employed to assess the diagnostic performance of 12 inflammatory indices derived from routine blood parameters. Results: Patients with EBV-HLH exhibited significantly lower hemoglobin, lymphocyte, neutrophil, monocyte, and platelet counts, as well as reduced albumin levels, compared to those with EBV-IM (all p < 0.001). The platelet-to-albumin ratio (PAR; AUC = 0.901), pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV; AUC = 0.904), and combination of albumin, lymphocyte and lymphocyte counts (CALLY; AUC = 0.887) demonstrated the highest discriminatory power. The C-reactive protein-to-lymphocyte ratio (CLR) also showed excellent performance (AUC = 0.867). Patients in the highest quartiles of CAR and CLR had 7-fold (OR = 7.09) and 32-fold (OR = 31.83) increased risks of EBV-HLH, respectively. Conclusion: Composite inflammatory indices, particularly PAR, PIV, and CALLY, serve as effective and practical tools for early prediction of EBV-HLH in children. These readily accessible biomarkers can significantly improve risk stratification and support timely clinical decision-making, especially in resource-limited settings.