Programmable Public Money: The Digital Yuan as Governance Infrastructure
摘要
This chapter treats China’s central-bank digital currency (CBDC) not as a payment experiment but as governance infrastructure—a programmable layer that fuses monetary policy, fiscal execution, compliance, and automation. It argues that the e-CNY represents a civilizational continuity: the same state-guided diffusion logic that once turned paper and paper money into administrative systems is now being applied to digital rails. Part I details what already exists—China’s two-tier architecture, tiered-privacy wallets, dual-offline capability, and the Hong Kong–Mainland corridor—showing that diffusion follows the national pilot → iterate → standardize → scale sequence. Part II reconceives CBDC as state capacity: policy-in-code templates automate tax and compliance, fiscal transfers become instantaneous and auditable, and macro telemetry shortens feedback loops while preserving privacy tiers. Part III links programmable money to the machine economy—robots and software agents using e-CNY to transact under verifiable identity and escrow logic—demonstrating that CBDC is the natural settlement layer for AI-driven automation. Part IV examines the cross-border dimension: mBridge, tokenized-deposit corridors, and programmable PvP settlement that convert diplomacy into code. Finally, Part V analyzes execution politics—how the People’s Bank of China can scale without destabilizing domestic banks or provoking international backlash—and offers measurable indicators and scenarios through 2033. Taken together, the chapter positions the digital yuan as a programmable public utility: money that encodes policy intent, enforces reversibility and accountability, and extends China’s telocratic model of guided diffusion into the monetary domain. The question is no longer whether e-CNY works—it does—but how far Beijing chooses to use it as a lever of economic coordination and global standard-setting.