Forging Trade Rules in the Age of AI: The Case for Special Labor Safeguards
摘要
Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to reshape global labor markets, generating structural displacement across sectors through trade in AI-enabled goods and services. This chapter argues that the WTO’s current safeguard regime is poorly equipped to address the distinctive character of AI-induced labor disruption. Rooted in a product-specific, sectoral logic, the Agreement on Safeguards fails to accommodate the cross-cutting, anticipatory nature of AI shocks, and excludes services altogether. To address this gap, the chapter proposes a new WTO instrument: a special safeguard mechanism specifically designed to enable members to respond to systemic employment dislocation linked to trade in AI-intensive products and services. It outlines the foundations for such a mechanism, proposes core design elements, and considers necessary guardrails to prevent protectionist misuse. Rather than eroding multilateralism, this approach seeks to preserve it: by equipping the WTO with tools that enable governments to manage labor transitions within a rules-based framework, this chapter aims to reaffirm the WTO’s relevance in an era of general-purpose technological disruption.