Chapter 7 distills key insights from Malaysia’s economic development experience, demonstrating that successful escape from the middle-income trap requires not merely appropriate policies but also timely implementation enabled by competitive elections that drive necessary policy transitions—from laissez-faire to the New Economic Policy (1970s), to growth-oriented strategies (1990s), to redistribution emphasis (2010s). However, the analysis reveals Malaysia’s continued vulnerability to two fundamental challenges: the interlocking structural problems inherited from the New Economic Policy that constrain industrial upgrading despite repeated reform attempts, and the political instability following the 2018 democratic transition, marked by frequent government changes and intensified ethnic polarization, which undermines the institutional continuity essential for formulating coherent long-term development strategies appropriate for a prospective high-income country. This chapter summarizes the discussions thus far, presenting insights derived from them for escaping the “middle-income trap” and pointing out the challenges for Malaysia to continue its economic development after becoming a high-income country.

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Hints for Escaping the “Middle-Income Trap” and Future Challenges

  • Satoru Kumagai,
  • Masashi Nakamura

摘要

Chapter 7 distills key insights from Malaysia’s economic development experience, demonstrating that successful escape from the middle-income trap requires not merely appropriate policies but also timely implementation enabled by competitive elections that drive necessary policy transitions—from laissez-faire to the New Economic Policy (1970s), to growth-oriented strategies (1990s), to redistribution emphasis (2010s). However, the analysis reveals Malaysia’s continued vulnerability to two fundamental challenges: the interlocking structural problems inherited from the New Economic Policy that constrain industrial upgrading despite repeated reform attempts, and the political instability following the 2018 democratic transition, marked by frequent government changes and intensified ethnic polarization, which undermines the institutional continuity essential for formulating coherent long-term development strategies appropriate for a prospective high-income country. This chapter summarizes the discussions thus far, presenting insights derived from them for escaping the “middle-income trap” and pointing out the challenges for Malaysia to continue its economic development after becoming a high-income country.