Traffic prediction is critical for Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), but limited available data across cities constrains predictive accuracy. Transfer learning is widely adopted to mitigate data sparsity from resource-rich cities, yet such cross-city predictions face challenges from semantic-topological misalignment and spatial granularity inflexibility. Due to the very coupling of semantic features with topological structures, existing methods are difficult to handle cross-domain variations effectively. To address these issues, we propose TASA, a transfer framework that employs semantic-topological decoupling mechanism and adaptive enhancement mechanism for multi-scale spatial attention. Through a collaborative training strategy in three stages, TASA can independently model transferable traffic semantics and city-specific topological structures; while through hierarchical block attention, it can dynamically adjust spatial granularity. Experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate that TASA outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving average improvements of 12.2% in MAE and 14.3% in RMSE, proving its effectiveness in cross-city traffic prediction of few-shot scenarios.

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Cross-City Traffic Prediction with Semantic-Topological Decoupling and Spatial Attention Enhancement

  • Yuwei Gu,
  • Weilong Ding,
  • Haoyang He,
  • Yang Yang

摘要

Traffic prediction is critical for Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), but limited available data across cities constrains predictive accuracy. Transfer learning is widely adopted to mitigate data sparsity from resource-rich cities, yet such cross-city predictions face challenges from semantic-topological misalignment and spatial granularity inflexibility. Due to the very coupling of semantic features with topological structures, existing methods are difficult to handle cross-domain variations effectively. To address these issues, we propose TASA, a transfer framework that employs semantic-topological decoupling mechanism and adaptive enhancement mechanism for multi-scale spatial attention. Through a collaborative training strategy in three stages, TASA can independently model transferable traffic semantics and city-specific topological structures; while through hierarchical block attention, it can dynamically adjust spatial granularity. Experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate that TASA outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving average improvements of 12.2% in MAE and 14.3% in RMSE, proving its effectiveness in cross-city traffic prediction of few-shot scenarios.