The Three Doors Problem, or Monty Hall Problem, is familiar to statisticians as a paradox in elementary probability theory often found in elementary probability texts (especially in their exercises sections). In that context it is usually meant to be solved by careful (and elementary) application of Bayes’ theorem. However, in different forms, it is much discussed and argued about and written about by psychologists, game-theorists and mathematical economists, educationalists, journalists, lay persons, blog-writers, wikipedia editors.

错误:搜索内容不能为空,请输入英文关键词
错误:关键词超出字数限制,请精简
高级检索

Monty Hall Problem: Solution

  • Richard D. Gill

摘要

The Three Doors Problem, or Monty Hall Problem, is familiar to statisticians as a paradox in elementary probability theory often found in elementary probability texts (especially in their exercises sections). In that context it is usually meant to be solved by careful (and elementary) application of Bayes’ theorem. However, in different forms, it is much discussed and argued about and written about by psychologists, game-theorists and mathematical economists, educationalists, journalists, lay persons, blog-writers, wikipedia editors.