Exponential smoothing techniques are simple tools for smoothing and forecasting a time series (that is, a sequence of measurements of a variable observed at equidistant points in time). Smoothing a time series aims at eliminating the irrelevant noise and extracting the general path followed by the series.

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Exponential and Holt-Winters Smoothing

  • Roland Fried,
  • Ann Cathrice George

摘要

Exponential smoothing techniques are simple tools for smoothing and forecasting a time series (that is, a sequence of measurements of a variable observed at equidistant points in time). Smoothing a time series aims at eliminating the irrelevant noise and extracting the general path followed by the series.