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For more than three decades, the post-Soviet space bordering the EU has been marked by protracted conflicts, recurrent violence—including wars—and persistent de facto regimes. Russia’s wars against Georgia in 2008, and Ukraine in 2014 and escalated anew since 2022, as well as Azerbaijan’s conquest of Nagorny Karabakh in 2023, demonstrate the volatility of ‘frozen conflicts’ and the futility of a mere diplomatic administration of the status quo, often euphemistically referred to as ‘stabilization policy’. The longer such conflicts persist, the less likely is a return to the status quo ante, and the smaller the chance of a non-violent resolution.

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Punishment or Modus Vivendi? How to Deal with Post-Soviet De Facto Regimes?

  • 章节

  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Andreas Heinemann-Grüder

摘要

For more than three decades, the post-Soviet space bordering the EU has been marked by protracted conflicts, recurrent violence—including wars—and persistent de facto regimes. Russia’s wars against Georgia in 2008, and Ukraine in 2014 and escalated anew since 2022, as well as Azerbaijan’s conquest of Nagorny Karabakh in 2023, demonstrate the volatility of ‘frozen conflicts’ and the futility of a mere diplomatic administration of the status quo, often euphemistically referred to as ‘stabilization policy’. The longer such conflicts persist, the less likely is a return to the status quo ante, and the smaller the chance of a non-violent resolution.