We investigate the use of supervised machine learning models to predict equilibrium outcomes in a predator–prey system with disease. Epidemics in this system are described by a coupled model that integrates Lotka–Volterra (LV) predator–prey dynamics with a Susceptible–Infected–Susceptible (SIS) epidemic framework. A synthetic dataset is generated by randomly varying model parameters within prescribed ranges and recording the final susceptible and infected populations as equilibrium states. This dataset is then used to train a wide suite of supervised models, including a linear model, tree ensembles, boosting methods, and neural networks. The results demonstrate that machine learning provides fast and reliable equilibrium prediction, enabling large-scale scenario exploration without repeatedly integrating the underlying system of ordinary differential equations.

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Predicting Equilibrium in a Predator–Prey System with Disease

  • Hyangim Ji,
  • Maria Vasilyeva,
  • Alexey Sadovski

摘要

We investigate the use of supervised machine learning models to predict equilibrium outcomes in a predator–prey system with disease. Epidemics in this system are described by a coupled model that integrates Lotka–Volterra (LV) predator–prey dynamics with a Susceptible–Infected–Susceptible (SIS) epidemic framework. A synthetic dataset is generated by randomly varying model parameters within prescribed ranges and recording the final susceptible and infected populations as equilibrium states. This dataset is then used to train a wide suite of supervised models, including a linear model, tree ensembles, boosting methods, and neural networks. The results demonstrate that machine learning provides fast and reliable equilibrium prediction, enabling large-scale scenario exploration without repeatedly integrating the underlying system of ordinary differential equations.