Coastal flooding is increasing due to rising sea levels and changes in extreme weather events such as heightened wave energy, winds, and surges. This poses a significant threat to coastal cities. The study focuses on assessing the risk of coastal flooding in Taghazout and Imourane Bay (Moroccan Atlantic), which includes sandy beaches and a valuable tourist and commercial district. The methodology involves estimating extreme sea levels using the NWWIII model, the SWAN wave propagation model, statistical analysis of extremes (GEV model), and Sea Level Rise scenarios. Results are mapped onto a high-resolution Digital Terrain Model based on recent topo-bathymetric data, supplemented by GEBCO data. Currently, Imourane is more exposed to the risk, especially in its southern part, while Taghazout is less exposed, particularly in its northern part due to its bay shape and protection from Anchor Point and Cape Ghir. Future projections for 2100 suggest the entire bay could be submerged, threatening seaside infrastructure. This underscores the need for coastal managers to develop a protective strategy against this risk.

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Coastal Flooding Risk Along Taghazout and Imourane Coasts (Atlantic, Morocco)

  • Abdelhaq Aangri,
  • Mounir Hakkou,
  • Yann Krien,
  • Zakaria Elmostafa,
  • Aicha Ben Mohammadi

摘要

Coastal flooding is increasing due to rising sea levels and changes in extreme weather events such as heightened wave energy, winds, and surges. This poses a significant threat to coastal cities. The study focuses on assessing the risk of coastal flooding in Taghazout and Imourane Bay (Moroccan Atlantic), which includes sandy beaches and a valuable tourist and commercial district. The methodology involves estimating extreme sea levels using the NWWIII model, the SWAN wave propagation model, statistical analysis of extremes (GEV model), and Sea Level Rise scenarios. Results are mapped onto a high-resolution Digital Terrain Model based on recent topo-bathymetric data, supplemented by GEBCO data. Currently, Imourane is more exposed to the risk, especially in its southern part, while Taghazout is less exposed, particularly in its northern part due to its bay shape and protection from Anchor Point and Cape Ghir. Future projections for 2100 suggest the entire bay could be submerged, threatening seaside infrastructure. This underscores the need for coastal managers to develop a protective strategy against this risk.