The most common weather-related disaster in the world is still flooding. In 2025, the most recent flash floods happened in Uttarakhand and Himanchal Pradesh. In this research paper local environmental signatures, such as dam weakness, monsoon intensity, and drainage flaws, are transformed into a 0–1 flood probability by an open-source XGBoost classifier that was trained on 10,000 regions. The cloud-free pipeline achieves 94% accuracy and 0.988 ROC-AUC, offering municipalities an energy-frugal, explainable API that can be wired into existing ICT fabrics without GPUs or data-center carbon. Ecological consciousness is incorporated into routine digital services through Environmental Computing for ICT Applications (EC-ICT). By condensing a flood-risk super-model into a 4 s, 100 MB laptop routine that uses “environmental bytes,” we operationalize this paradigm: 20 ordinal risk scores that can be stored in a CSV checklist. By fusing green algorithmic minimalism with pervasive ICT, the study shows that life-saving environmental intelligence can be delivered as lightly as sending a spreadsheet.

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Micro-XGBoost for Sustainable Flood Prediction Intelligence in Environmental Computing for ICT Applications

  • Vivek Chamoli,
  • Himani Binjola,
  • Kusum Lata,
  • Vidushi Negi,
  • Raj Gusain

摘要

The most common weather-related disaster in the world is still flooding. In 2025, the most recent flash floods happened in Uttarakhand and Himanchal Pradesh. In this research paper local environmental signatures, such as dam weakness, monsoon intensity, and drainage flaws, are transformed into a 0–1 flood probability by an open-source XGBoost classifier that was trained on 10,000 regions. The cloud-free pipeline achieves 94% accuracy and 0.988 ROC-AUC, offering municipalities an energy-frugal, explainable API that can be wired into existing ICT fabrics without GPUs or data-center carbon. Ecological consciousness is incorporated into routine digital services through Environmental Computing for ICT Applications (EC-ICT). By condensing a flood-risk super-model into a 4 s, 100 MB laptop routine that uses “environmental bytes,” we operationalize this paradigm: 20 ordinal risk scores that can be stored in a CSV checklist. By fusing green algorithmic minimalism with pervasive ICT, the study shows that life-saving environmental intelligence can be delivered as lightly as sending a spreadsheet.