The purpose of the research is to substantiate the concept of shipping safety, focused on taking into account the influence of the human factor on decision-making, and therefore on shipping safety. The emphasis is on ensuring shipping safety in emergency situations not provided for by regulatory documents. Which requires the crew to expound the skills and abilities of intuitive and heuristic thinking and decision-making. The practical implementation of these skills and abilities corresponds to the “synchronous generator mode” as the highest level of operator activity qualification. A list of components of the safety concept and the architecture of their interaction are provided, where, taking into account the stable negative impact of the human factor on navigation safety and the special role of decision-making in the professional activities of a shipmaster, the attitude towards dangerous actions or conditions occupies a prominent place.”Attitude” is determined by indicators of the influence of the human factor on decision-making: the main dominants (propensity - aversion - indifference to risk), levels of aspirations (adequacy of self-esteem), fuzzy assessments of risk/danger, systems of preferences on indicators and characteristics of professional activity, as well as dangerous strategies of behavior, operational thinking of decision-making. The first three of the listed indicators also characterize the attitude to the safety of the ship domain, since they are determined using the corresponding one-, two-, three-dimensional evaluation functions of utility-safety and fuzzy models, which are built on the continuum of distance to the obstacle, lateral deviation from it and taking into account the speed of the vessel. Characteristic points of the evaluation functions of utility-safety and fuzzy risk models are the basis for the methodical provision of personality-oriented simulator training of navigators. The proposed concept also requires that navigators have the skills and abilities to recognize and identify sources of danger and risk, predict the undesirable development of a dangerous situation, and therefore take appropriate measures to prevent such development.

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Human Factor and Decision Making: A Concept of Shipping Safety

  • Оleksii Reva,
  • Volodymyr Kamyshyn,
  • Pavlo Mamenko,
  • Kostiantyn Kyrychenko,
  • Larysa Saganovska

摘要

The purpose of the research is to substantiate the concept of shipping safety, focused on taking into account the influence of the human factor on decision-making, and therefore on shipping safety. The emphasis is on ensuring shipping safety in emergency situations not provided for by regulatory documents. Which requires the crew to expound the skills and abilities of intuitive and heuristic thinking and decision-making. The practical implementation of these skills and abilities corresponds to the “synchronous generator mode” as the highest level of operator activity qualification. A list of components of the safety concept and the architecture of their interaction are provided, where, taking into account the stable negative impact of the human factor on navigation safety and the special role of decision-making in the professional activities of a shipmaster, the attitude towards dangerous actions or conditions occupies a prominent place.”Attitude” is determined by indicators of the influence of the human factor on decision-making: the main dominants (propensity - aversion - indifference to risk), levels of aspirations (adequacy of self-esteem), fuzzy assessments of risk/danger, systems of preferences on indicators and characteristics of professional activity, as well as dangerous strategies of behavior, operational thinking of decision-making. The first three of the listed indicators also characterize the attitude to the safety of the ship domain, since they are determined using the corresponding one-, two-, three-dimensional evaluation functions of utility-safety and fuzzy models, which are built on the continuum of distance to the obstacle, lateral deviation from it and taking into account the speed of the vessel. Characteristic points of the evaluation functions of utility-safety and fuzzy risk models are the basis for the methodical provision of personality-oriented simulator training of navigators. The proposed concept also requires that navigators have the skills and abilities to recognize and identify sources of danger and risk, predict the undesirable development of a dangerous situation, and therefore take appropriate measures to prevent such development.