Optimization Model for the Localization of Cold Chain Distribution Centers Based on Kernel Distribution Function Estimation: A Case Study in the Casablanca Region
摘要
This paper presents an optimization model for the strategic localization of cold chain distribution centers, integrating both economic costs and delivery reliability. The proposed approach combines K-Means clustering for territorial segmentation with a Gaussian kernel-based reliability estimation, which subsequently solves a multi-objective optimization problem to minimize costs while maximizing reliability. When applied to the Casablanca region, the model demonstrates a significant improvement in network performance, with delivery reliability increasing from approximately 10% after the territorial reorganization. Certain zones, such as Casa 4, now exceed 66%, whereas others, including Casa 10, require further targeted adjustments. In addition, the approach enables a substantial cost reduction, decreasing from 20,026 MAD to around 10,062 MAD, thereby confirming its economic efficiency. Overall, the methodology provides a simple, data-driven, and reproducible decision-support tool that can be further strengthened through sensitivity analysis and real-time monitoring to support future planning and operational implementation.