Click-through rate prediction underpins real-time bidding strategies in display advertising. We propose a unified approach that integrates beta-based Bayesian priors, Dynamic Linear Models, and collaborative filtering to address data sparsity, temporal dynamics, and neighbor relationships. A hierarchical Bayesian structure shares information across campaigns from the same advertiser, improving estimates when per-campaign data are limited. On a real-world dataset, our method outperforms baselines including standard collaborative filtering, random forest, and XGBoost, achieving superior log-loss and mean squared error.

错误:搜索内容不能为空,请输入英文关键词
错误:关键词超出字数限制,请精简
高级检索

A Bayesian-DLM-CF Framework for Real-Time Display Advertising

  • Michael Els,
  • David Banks

摘要

Click-through rate prediction underpins real-time bidding strategies in display advertising. We propose a unified approach that integrates beta-based Bayesian priors, Dynamic Linear Models, and collaborative filtering to address data sparsity, temporal dynamics, and neighbor relationships. A hierarchical Bayesian structure shares information across campaigns from the same advertiser, improving estimates when per-campaign data are limited. On a real-world dataset, our method outperforms baselines including standard collaborative filtering, random forest, and XGBoost, achieving superior log-loss and mean squared error.