Data analysis plays an increasingly important role in soccer, offering new ways to evaluate individual and team performance. One specific application is the evaluation of dribbles: one-on-one situations where an attacker attempts to bypass a defender with the ball. While previous research has primarily relied on 2D positional tracking data, this fails to capture aspects like balance, orientation, and ball control, limiting the depth of current insights. This study explores how pose tracking data—capturing players’ posture and movement in three dimensions—can improve our understanding of dribbling skills. We extract novel pose-based features from 1,736 dribbles in the 2022/23 Champions League season and evaluate their impact on dribble success. Our results show that pose-based features (specifically, the lean angle of the attacker’s torso and the relative alignment between the posture of the attacker and defender) are informative for predicting dribble success. Incorporating these pose-based features on top of features derived from traditional 2D positional data leads to a measurable improvement in the model’s prediction performance.

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What Makes a Dribble Successful? Insights From 3D Pose Tracking Data

  • Michiel Schepers,
  • Pieter Robberechts,
  • Jan Van Haaren,
  • Jesse Davis

摘要

Data analysis plays an increasingly important role in soccer, offering new ways to evaluate individual and team performance. One specific application is the evaluation of dribbles: one-on-one situations where an attacker attempts to bypass a defender with the ball. While previous research has primarily relied on 2D positional tracking data, this fails to capture aspects like balance, orientation, and ball control, limiting the depth of current insights. This study explores how pose tracking data—capturing players’ posture and movement in three dimensions—can improve our understanding of dribbling skills. We extract novel pose-based features from 1,736 dribbles in the 2022/23 Champions League season and evaluate their impact on dribble success. Our results show that pose-based features (specifically, the lean angle of the attacker’s torso and the relative alignment between the posture of the attacker and defender) are informative for predicting dribble success. Incorporating these pose-based features on top of features derived from traditional 2D positional data leads to a measurable improvement in the model’s prediction performance.