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This article explores the application of a novel approach to identify, track, and manage uncertainties that affect the performance of large complex projects. The approach uses Concept-KnowledgeConcept-knowledge theory Design Theory and its visual mapping formats as a means to elicit project uncertainties in order to build mitigation plans. An ongoing project is testing this as a methodology to extend risk management into uncertainty management. This article explains the methods using a historical case study of a successful megaprojectMegaprojects: Heathrow Terminal 5.

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Concept-Knowledge Theory as a Means to Evaluate Uncertainties in Large Complex Projects

  • 会议论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年

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  • Megan Clifford,
  • Tom McDermott

摘要

This article explores the application of a novel approach to identify, track, and manage uncertainties that affect the performance of large complex projects. The approach uses Concept-KnowledgeConcept-knowledge theory Design Theory and its visual mapping formats as a means to elicit project uncertainties in order to build mitigation plans. An ongoing project is testing this as a methodology to extend risk management into uncertainty management. This article explains the methods using a historical case study of a successful megaprojectMegaprojects: Heathrow Terminal 5.