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Chemical fertilizer is a two-edged sword for the world’s highest populous country, India. On one side, it can cut down the hunger statistics (SDG2) and on the other CO2 present in the environment (SDG13). To yield the sword, one must understand its existence's mechanism and purpose. The current paper tries to explore the relationship between chemical fertilizer, food grain production, hunger statistics, and annual average temperature from 1981 to 2023. The paper uses robust econometric time-series tools like Pairwise Granger Causality Test, Johansen Cointegration Test, and Vector Error Correction Model. The result showed that there exists a short-run and long-run relation between the variables, but the extent of causality is limited.

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Chemical Fertilizer Usage in Indian Agriculture: Trade-Off Between Carbon Emissions and Food Security

  • 会议论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年

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  • Smrutirekha Mohanty,
  • Ananya Mitra

摘要

Chemical fertilizer is a two-edged sword for the world’s highest populous country, India. On one side, it can cut down the hunger statistics (SDG2) and on the other CO2 present in the environment (SDG13). To yield the sword, one must understand its existence's mechanism and purpose. The current paper tries to explore the relationship between chemical fertilizer, food grain production, hunger statistics, and annual average temperature from 1981 to 2023. The paper uses robust econometric time-series tools like Pairwise Granger Causality Test, Johansen Cointegration Test, and Vector Error Correction Model. The result showed that there exists a short-run and long-run relation between the variables, but the extent of causality is limited.