On February 24, 2022, Russia launched its full invasion of Ukraine with the goal of capturing Kyiv within days. While Vladimir Putin and the rest of the Kremlin failed to achieve those initial goals, the war continues to be waged nearly four years later, with Russia showing no desire to withdraw from the parts of Ukraine it still controls and return back to the 1991 internationally recognized borders between the two nations. Because of Putin’s desire to lead Russia into a war that resembles nineteenth-century imperialist ambitions, there is no going back to the status quo before his fateful decision to invade Ukraine, and a new international order is being created before our eyes that will have ramifications for decades to come. This chapter seeks to explore this new international order being created and how the outcome of the war in Ukraine will be the most consequential event to shape that order. From the current threats that Russia poses to Ukraine and other European nations like Moldova to what this means for China and Taiwan moving forward and more will be discussed. Long-term threats to the international community stemming from this war also need further analysis, especially when it comes to nuclear weapons, transnational organized crime, and if NATO is truly capable of meeting the challenges it will potentially be called upon to confront as this century progresses. The capabilities of NATO may also be reflective of whether democracies will have a seat at the table in determining the rules of this new international order. But the core of this book chapter, just like the most important place in the world right now, is Ukraine.

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Out with the Old, in with the New: The War in Ukraine and the Beginning of a New International Order

  • Jeremy Levine

摘要

On February 24, 2022, Russia launched its full invasion of Ukraine with the goal of capturing Kyiv within days. While Vladimir Putin and the rest of the Kremlin failed to achieve those initial goals, the war continues to be waged nearly four years later, with Russia showing no desire to withdraw from the parts of Ukraine it still controls and return back to the 1991 internationally recognized borders between the two nations. Because of Putin’s desire to lead Russia into a war that resembles nineteenth-century imperialist ambitions, there is no going back to the status quo before his fateful decision to invade Ukraine, and a new international order is being created before our eyes that will have ramifications for decades to come. This chapter seeks to explore this new international order being created and how the outcome of the war in Ukraine will be the most consequential event to shape that order. From the current threats that Russia poses to Ukraine and other European nations like Moldova to what this means for China and Taiwan moving forward and more will be discussed. Long-term threats to the international community stemming from this war also need further analysis, especially when it comes to nuclear weapons, transnational organized crime, and if NATO is truly capable of meeting the challenges it will potentially be called upon to confront as this century progresses. The capabilities of NATO may also be reflective of whether democracies will have a seat at the table in determining the rules of this new international order. But the core of this book chapter, just like the most important place in the world right now, is Ukraine.