Do gender differences translate into different voting preferences? The main objectives of this chapter are to analyse the electoral behaviour of Hondurans and, in particular, to investigate whether women have different political preferences from those of men. To address this question, we use data from the Americas Barometer/Latin American Public Opinion Project (LAPOP) on vote recall in the Honduran presidential elections of 2013, 2017 and 2021. In this work, we argue that significant gender inequalities in economic, social and political spheres have contributed to the persistence of traditional gender gaps. This has led women, more than men, to opt for candidates positioned on the right of the ideological spectrum. To test our hypothesis, we conducted a statistical analysis by using a multinomial logit regression model. The findings of this research support our hypothesis, indicating that Honduran women, in the 2013 and 2017 elections, opted for Juan Orlando Hernández, the most conservative candidate. However, the data from the 2021 elections show that gender was not a determining factor in voting preferences, with specific characteristics of the electoral process being more influential.

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Whom Do Women Vote for? An Analysis of Honduran Electoral Behaviour

  • Cecilia Graciela Rodríguez Balmaceda,
  • Juan Antonio Rodríguez Zepeda

摘要

Do gender differences translate into different voting preferences? The main objectives of this chapter are to analyse the electoral behaviour of Hondurans and, in particular, to investigate whether women have different political preferences from those of men. To address this question, we use data from the Americas Barometer/Latin American Public Opinion Project (LAPOP) on vote recall in the Honduran presidential elections of 2013, 2017 and 2021. In this work, we argue that significant gender inequalities in economic, social and political spheres have contributed to the persistence of traditional gender gaps. This has led women, more than men, to opt for candidates positioned on the right of the ideological spectrum. To test our hypothesis, we conducted a statistical analysis by using a multinomial logit regression model. The findings of this research support our hypothesis, indicating that Honduran women, in the 2013 and 2017 elections, opted for Juan Orlando Hernández, the most conservative candidate. However, the data from the 2021 elections show that gender was not a determining factor in voting preferences, with specific characteristics of the electoral process being more influential.