Climate change is visible in the measurement series of various climate parameters, and its consequences are already clearly noticeable today. Since parts of the permanent consequences can no longer be averted, adaptation to changing climate conditions and extreme weather events is mandatory. This is especially crucial for land-based transport infrastructure (railways and roads), as transport structures usually have long life cycles up to several decades. The integrated climate impact analysis, a tool developed by the BMDV Network of Experts from the German Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport (BMDV), serves to assess the current and future climatic influences and the resulting climate impacts on the transport sector based on a three-step procedure (exposure, sensitivity and criticality analysis). In this contribution, we present the exemplary application of the climate impact analysis in a case study for the risk of gravitational mass movements along the federal railway and trunk road network based on a rockfall event near Kestert in the Upper Middle Rhine Valley. The case study shows that the same process can have different impacts depending on the mode of transport.

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Climate Impact Analysis on Gravitational Mass Movements Along the German Railway and Road Network

  • Sonja Szymczak,
  • Fabia Backendorf,
  • Frederick Bott,
  • Lennart Meine,
  • Miriam Krebs,
  • Marvin Stell

摘要

Climate change is visible in the measurement series of various climate parameters, and its consequences are already clearly noticeable today. Since parts of the permanent consequences can no longer be averted, adaptation to changing climate conditions and extreme weather events is mandatory. This is especially crucial for land-based transport infrastructure (railways and roads), as transport structures usually have long life cycles up to several decades. The integrated climate impact analysis, a tool developed by the BMDV Network of Experts from the German Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport (BMDV), serves to assess the current and future climatic influences and the resulting climate impacts on the transport sector based on a three-step procedure (exposure, sensitivity and criticality analysis). In this contribution, we present the exemplary application of the climate impact analysis in a case study for the risk of gravitational mass movements along the federal railway and trunk road network based on a rockfall event near Kestert in the Upper Middle Rhine Valley. The case study shows that the same process can have different impacts depending on the mode of transport.