Weather and climate predictions are very important topics because of their impact on several activities of society. One essential feature of a prediction system is to compute the best initial condition for starting a forecasting cycle. The procedure to identify the best initial condition is a method by combining observation data from a dynamical system with data from a previous prediction, and this process is called data assimilation (DA). Some non-linear time evolution differential equations present dynamics very sensitive to any tiny changes of initial conditions, exhibiting a chaotic dynamic. Hence, our experiments applying Cell-NN are performed by using the classical Lorenz chaotic model. The methodology is described, where the Cell-NN is presented, then the Lorenz model is shown, and methods for data assimilation (variational and Cell-NN) are explained. The configuration of algorithms is introduced and results for numerical experiments are shown.

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Simulation and Data Assimilation in a Chaotic Dynamical System by Cellular Neural Networks

  • C. M. O. Oliveir,
  • A. M. Saraiva,
  • A. C. B. Delbem,
  • F. P. Härter,
  • G. G. Z. Lemos,
  • H. F. Campos Velho

摘要

Weather and climate predictions are very important topics because of their impact on several activities of society. One essential feature of a prediction system is to compute the best initial condition for starting a forecasting cycle. The procedure to identify the best initial condition is a method by combining observation data from a dynamical system with data from a previous prediction, and this process is called data assimilation (DA). Some non-linear time evolution differential equations present dynamics very sensitive to any tiny changes of initial conditions, exhibiting a chaotic dynamic. Hence, our experiments applying Cell-NN are performed by using the classical Lorenz chaotic model. The methodology is described, where the Cell-NN is presented, then the Lorenz model is shown, and methods for data assimilation (variational and Cell-NN) are explained. The configuration of algorithms is introduced and results for numerical experiments are shown.