Selection of a Means of Transport in Epidemic Threat Conditions Using the Multi-Criteria Comparative Analysis Method
摘要
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted passenger transport, leading to changes in traveler preferences and the need to adapt transport systems to new conditions. Taking into account the possibility of re-occurrence of epidemic threats, it has become reasonable to consider which means of transport will be the safest and optimal in terms of travel time, costs and accessibility for various groups of inhabitants. The aim of the study was to asses means of transport in terms of their use in the conditions of the prevailing epidemic threat. The Warsaw agglomeration was adopted as a case study. This research analyzed three different scenarios by using the Bellinger method. This approach made it possible to assess the available means of transport based on adopted criteria. Obtained values allowed for the hierarchy of available means of transport for each scenario. Results indicate that in the event of an epidemic threat, the safest were individual means of transport, which minimized contact with other passengers. Public transport, despite its availability and relatively low travel costs, was associated with a higher risk of infection. In turn, private cars and car-sharing provided high comfort and safety, but were expensive and not always available to all user groups. The study provides information on optimal choices of means of transport in epidemic conditions, which is important in the perspective of possible renewed threats. The results can be used to design more resilient and flexible transport systems that will better meet the needs of passengers in crisis situations.