Despite the evasiveness of a weather forecast on the question of whether it will rain or not the coming weekend, it will attempt to assign a numerical value to the probability of precipitation. It will sound something like “Precipitation 80%” which one will intuitively understand as “it is very likely that there will be rain” since certainty is 100% and 80 is pretty close to 100.

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Playing dice with the Universe

  • Michael Yampolsky

摘要

Despite the evasiveness of a weather forecast on the question of whether it will rain or not the coming weekend, it will attempt to assign a numerical value to the probability of precipitation. It will sound something like “Precipitation 80%” which one will intuitively understand as “it is very likely that there will be rain” since certainty is 100% and 80 is pretty close to 100.