The efficient allocation of taxi services in urban areas is crucial for optimizing transportation systems, enhancing sustainability, reducing congestion, and increasing passenger satisfaction. The aim of this paper is to find the best machine learning algorithm for predicting taxi demand. This article delves into the potential of different machine learning algorithms, such as K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Decision Tree, and Gradient Boosting, to accurately predict taxi demand. Our approach begins with a meticulous preprocessing of data, converting datetime information into actionable insights, and ensuring a nuanced treatment of categorical variables through Column Transformers. This foundational work allows us to capture the multifaceted nature of demand, which can fluctuate based on time, location, and other contextual factors. The results reveal that the Decision Tree model emerged as the top performer, demonstrating its superior accuracy in predicting taxi demand. This underscores the importance of simplicity and interpretability in modeling complex phenomena. Moreover, this finding contributes not only to the academic discourse on predictive analytics in urban mobility but also provides practical insights for taxi companies looking to leverage machine learning to optimize their operations. By harnessing the predictive power of Decision Trees, these companies can better anticipate demand surges, allocate resources more effectively, and ultimately enhance the service quality for their customers.

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Developing Prediction Models for Urban Travel Demand Using Big Data and Machine Learning Algorithms

  • Mohammad I. Salameh,
  • Mohammad Shamsuzzaman

摘要

The efficient allocation of taxi services in urban areas is crucial for optimizing transportation systems, enhancing sustainability, reducing congestion, and increasing passenger satisfaction. The aim of this paper is to find the best machine learning algorithm for predicting taxi demand. This article delves into the potential of different machine learning algorithms, such as K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Decision Tree, and Gradient Boosting, to accurately predict taxi demand. Our approach begins with a meticulous preprocessing of data, converting datetime information into actionable insights, and ensuring a nuanced treatment of categorical variables through Column Transformers. This foundational work allows us to capture the multifaceted nature of demand, which can fluctuate based on time, location, and other contextual factors. The results reveal that the Decision Tree model emerged as the top performer, demonstrating its superior accuracy in predicting taxi demand. This underscores the importance of simplicity and interpretability in modeling complex phenomena. Moreover, this finding contributes not only to the academic discourse on predictive analytics in urban mobility but also provides practical insights for taxi companies looking to leverage machine learning to optimize their operations. By harnessing the predictive power of Decision Trees, these companies can better anticipate demand surges, allocate resources more effectively, and ultimately enhance the service quality for their customers.