Analysing the Impact of the Red Sea Crisis on Commodity Prices: An Event Study with Reference to S&P GSCI Commodity Index
摘要
The purpose of the paper is to elucidate the impact of the Red Sea Crises on the S&P GSCI Commodity index, this study was undertaken. The event study methodology has been used to empirically test the stock market efficiency upon the announcement of the Red Sea Crises on the S&P GSCI Commodity index. The study takes the pre-event period of 15 days and the post-event period of 15 days. For S&P GSCI Commodity index, AAR and CAAR were calculated to determine the impact of the Red Sea Crisis. The null hypothesis stated that there is no significant difference between the Average Abnormal Returns before and after the date of the announcement of the Red Sea Crises on the S&P GSCI Commodity Index. The paired samples t-test was carried out and the null hypothesis is accepted at the 5% significance level, suggesting that the event did not have any statistically significant impact on the S&P GSCI Commodity index. The study will help policymakers understand how geopolitical will impact commodity prices so that we can decide whether they need to make any decisions to control commodity prices because high commodity prices may adversely affect people’s standard of living.