This book brings together top experts of Japanese politics to analyze the political context, central policy issues, party strategies, and voter behavior in the 50th General Election for Japan’s House of Representatives (HR), held on October 27, 2024. The headline of the 2024 election was the dramatic rebuke of the governing parties by voters. The LDP–Kōmeitō coalition lost a combined 76 seats and fell short of a majority in the HR. The LDP’s loss of 68 seats marked its second-worst defeat in its 70-year history. Why did the LDP fare so poorly? Did the opposition win as much as the LDP lost? And what do the results reveal about the future trajectory of Japanese electoral politics? In this introductory chapter, we begin with a brief narrative of political developments between the 2021 and 2024 general elections, setting the stage for the volume. We then provide an overview of the chapters, each of which examines an important aspect of the 2024 election, and which collectively offer a coherent picture of its significance.

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Introduction: LDP Dominance on the Edge

  • Kenneth M. McElwain,
  • Robert J. Pekkanen,
  • Daniel M. Smith

摘要

This book brings together top experts of Japanese politics to analyze the political context, central policy issues, party strategies, and voter behavior in the 50th General Election for Japan’s House of Representatives (HR), held on October 27, 2024. The headline of the 2024 election was the dramatic rebuke of the governing parties by voters. The LDP–Kōmeitō coalition lost a combined 76 seats and fell short of a majority in the HR. The LDP’s loss of 68 seats marked its second-worst defeat in its 70-year history. Why did the LDP fare so poorly? Did the opposition win as much as the LDP lost? And what do the results reveal about the future trajectory of Japanese electoral politics? In this introductory chapter, we begin with a brief narrative of political developments between the 2021 and 2024 general elections, setting the stage for the volume. We then provide an overview of the chapters, each of which examines an important aspect of the 2024 election, and which collectively offer a coherent picture of its significance.