A Comprehensive Risk Assessment Framework for Multiple Natural Hazards Using CLIMADA Model
摘要
In modern eras, the effect of natural hazards has become more evident due to climate change, which is inconsistent in terms of its intensity, frequency and geographical distribution of the occurrences. Thus, it was thought necessary to evaluate and forecast the impacts of natural hazards under various climate scenarios through sophisticated tools and models. One of tools is the CLIMADA (CLIMate ADAptation) model, which is available in open domain, deals with probabilistic risk assessment intended to compute the risks and impacts of natural hazards, in view of socio-economic and climatic factors. The principal goal of this research is to employ the CLIMADA model to conduct a comprehensive risk assessment of extreme heat related natural hazards under various climate change scenarios. As per the projections done by Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenario, the investigation is performed on the basis of changing climate variables and its impact on extreme heat conditions. It not only provides the details of intensity but also explains how much time it will occur again. Ultimately, the research goals to deliver scientific understandings into future risks that facilitate communities, governments, and organizations to develop sustainable and adaptive measures to survive with the impressions of climate change.