The purpose of this recipe is to provide an estimation of the economic impact probability distribution that a random seismic-triggered tsunami may produce using Monte Carlo methods for seismic source selection. The recipe is suitable for studies aiming to assess direct economic losses due to tsunami impact for regional coastal zones. Given that it is based on maximum plausible earthquake approach, this recipe does not fully account for the aleatory variability of the source, as prescribed in standard PTHA. It is suitable where economic and infrastructural information is available, either actual or hypothetical, on a local scale.

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R20—Monte Carlo Approach for Tsunami Economic Impact Estimation in a Pseudo-Probabilistic Framework

  • Alejandro González del Pino,
  • Jorge Macías,
  • Miguel Llorente Isidro,
  • Carlos Paredes Bartolomé

摘要

The purpose of this recipe is to provide an estimation of the economic impact probability distribution that a random seismic-triggered tsunami may produce using Monte Carlo methods for seismic source selection. The recipe is suitable for studies aiming to assess direct economic losses due to tsunami impact for regional coastal zones. Given that it is based on maximum plausible earthquake approach, this recipe does not fully account for the aleatory variability of the source, as prescribed in standard PTHA. It is suitable where economic and infrastructural information is available, either actual or hypothetical, on a local scale.