In the competitive banking sector, accurately predicting customer subscriptions to term deposits is essential for optimizing marketing strategies and boosting revenue. Traditional models often struggle with performance and explainability issues. To overcome these challenges, we propose an advanced approach that enhances prediction accuracy and addresses model explainability. Our methodology utilizes the CatBoost ensemble model, renowned for its effectiveness with categorical data, combined with the Explainable AI (XAI) framework, interpretML, to ensure transparent decision-making. The results show that this integrated approach not only improves predictive accuracy but also builds stakeholder trust by providing clear insights into the model’s decisions.

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Bank Term Deposit Subscriptions Prediction: An eXplainable AI (XAI) Framework Using InterpretML

  • Hayat Sahlaoui,
  • Rim Ouada,
  • Wissal M’hamedi,
  • Khadija Elabbioui,
  • Amine Sallah,
  • Abdelaaziz Hessane

摘要

In the competitive banking sector, accurately predicting customer subscriptions to term deposits is essential for optimizing marketing strategies and boosting revenue. Traditional models often struggle with performance and explainability issues. To overcome these challenges, we propose an advanced approach that enhances prediction accuracy and addresses model explainability. Our methodology utilizes the CatBoost ensemble model, renowned for its effectiveness with categorical data, combined with the Explainable AI (XAI) framework, interpretML, to ensure transparent decision-making. The results show that this integrated approach not only improves predictive accuracy but also builds stakeholder trust by providing clear insights into the model’s decisions.