Rapid environmental, socio-economic, and geopolitical changes are accelerating transformations in land use patterns worldwide. To effectively monitor and predict these dynamics, DTs offer a promising approach by integrating real-time Earth observation data, climate models, AI-driven analytics, and socio-economic indicators. This paper identifies a critical gap in the application of Digital Twins (DT) frameworks for land use change monitoring, which remains underexplored. We propose a novel two-timescale DT architecture designed to track both rapid event-driven land cover changes (such as floods, wildfires, war-induced damage) and gradual long-term transformations, such as climate-induced agricultural shifts and urban expansion. By bridging the gap between advanced Earth observation technologies and decision-making processes, the proposed framework contributes to the development of AI-enhanced DT systems that facilitate climate adaptation, disaster response, and long-term sustainability in dynamic land systems.

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Digital Twins for Land Use Change

  • Nataliia Kussul,
  • Gregory Giuliani,
  • Andrii Shelestov,
  • Sofiia Drozd,
  • Andrii Kolotii,
  • Yevhenii Salii,
  • Anton Cherniatevych,
  • Oleksandr Yavorskyi,
  • Volodymyr Malyniak,
  • Charlotte Poussin

摘要

Rapid environmental, socio-economic, and geopolitical changes are accelerating transformations in land use patterns worldwide. To effectively monitor and predict these dynamics, DTs offer a promising approach by integrating real-time Earth observation data, climate models, AI-driven analytics, and socio-economic indicators. This paper identifies a critical gap in the application of Digital Twins (DT) frameworks for land use change monitoring, which remains underexplored. We propose a novel two-timescale DT architecture designed to track both rapid event-driven land cover changes (such as floods, wildfires, war-induced damage) and gradual long-term transformations, such as climate-induced agricultural shifts and urban expansion. By bridging the gap between advanced Earth observation technologies and decision-making processes, the proposed framework contributes to the development of AI-enhanced DT systems that facilitate climate adaptation, disaster response, and long-term sustainability in dynamic land systems.