This study applies a network-oriented modelling approach to analyse the complex adaptive dynamical system describing sustainable livelihoods. The study pilots the use of a proposed adaptive temporal-causal network model to examine the dynamics of livelihood adaptation strategies. Strategies to develop the model include applying exclusion criteria to qualitative codes to derive states, while using an iterative process of considering theory and modelling techniques to conceptualise connections. The model required fitting based on expectations, and is useful for generating and testing hypotheses, which can also be combined with other models to study sustainable livelihoods and its adaptive dynamics holistically.

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Strategies and Insights from Applying an Adaptive Network-Oriented Modelling Approach to Study Dynamics in Sustainable Livelihoods

  • Brian Lain,
  • Jan Treur

摘要

This study applies a network-oriented modelling approach to analyse the complex adaptive dynamical system describing sustainable livelihoods. The study pilots the use of a proposed adaptive temporal-causal network model to examine the dynamics of livelihood adaptation strategies. Strategies to develop the model include applying exclusion criteria to qualitative codes to derive states, while using an iterative process of considering theory and modelling techniques to conceptualise connections. The model required fitting based on expectations, and is useful for generating and testing hypotheses, which can also be combined with other models to study sustainable livelihoods and its adaptive dynamics holistically.