This work presents a new model that extends the hubs weighted graphical lasso to dynamic settings by combining it with a Hidden Markov framework. The method is designed to track changes in the network structure over time, especially when hub nodes are present. A penalized EM algorithm is used for estimation, and simulations suggest notable improvements over other HMM-based approaches. Future work will explore how the model behaves when the number of states is overestimated.

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Evaluating Hub Structures in Hidden Markov Graphical Models

  • Beatrice Foroni,
  • Abbas Khalili,
  • Lea Petrella,
  • Nicola Salvati

摘要

This work presents a new model that extends the hubs weighted graphical lasso to dynamic settings by combining it with a Hidden Markov framework. The method is designed to track changes in the network structure over time, especially when hub nodes are present. A penalized EM algorithm is used for estimation, and simulations suggest notable improvements over other HMM-based approaches. Future work will explore how the model behaves when the number of states is overestimated.