The chapter analyses vote shifts and seat gains and losses, assesses the performances of the parties, draws inferences from the pattern of vote transfers, and assesses the utility of the betting market as a results predictor. It also analyses the composition of the new Dáil. Unlike its three predecessors it did not witness large changes in party strengths, a possible indicator that the party system has reached a degree of stability. The domination of the post-election government by centre-right parties and the mainly left-wing orientation of the opposition suggests that the party system may be moving towards a clearer left–right competition than Ireland has experienced in the past. The chapter also analyses the result of the election to Ireland’s upper house, Seanad Éireann.

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The Results Analysed: The Centre Strikes Back

  • Michael Gallagher

摘要

The chapter analyses vote shifts and seat gains and losses, assesses the performances of the parties, draws inferences from the pattern of vote transfers, and assesses the utility of the betting market as a results predictor. It also analyses the composition of the new Dáil. Unlike its three predecessors it did not witness large changes in party strengths, a possible indicator that the party system has reached a degree of stability. The domination of the post-election government by centre-right parties and the mainly left-wing orientation of the opposition suggests that the party system may be moving towards a clearer left–right competition than Ireland has experienced in the past. The chapter also analyses the result of the election to Ireland’s upper house, Seanad Éireann.