Climate scenarios are plausible representations of Earth’s future climate. They are based on quantitative studies on the possible socio-economic and environmental evolutions that yield a limited series of evolutionary lines of greenhouse gas emissions. Climate scenarios have evolved over time and are currently based on a series of representative trajectories of emissions and concentrations of greenhouse gases, as well as socio-economic scenarios linked to the geopolitical context.

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Climate and Environmental Future Scenarios

  • Sergi González-Herrero,
  • Marc Lemus-Canovas

摘要

Climate scenarios are plausible representations of Earth’s future climate. They are based on quantitative studies on the possible socio-economic and environmental evolutions that yield a limited series of evolutionary lines of greenhouse gas emissions. Climate scenarios have evolved over time and are currently based on a series of representative trajectories of emissions and concentrations of greenhouse gases, as well as socio-economic scenarios linked to the geopolitical context.