This chapter explains how Donald Trump won the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania in the 2024 presidential election by examining county level results, turnout, and exit polling. Trump’s victory was shaped by strong anti-incumbency sentiment and economic dissatisfaction. This enabled Trump’s campaign to boost turnout in heavily Republican areas, erode Democratic margins in key strongholds and among core constituencies, and make inroads in regions where Republicans are gaining strength and Democrats recede.

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How Trump Won “The United States of Pennsylvania”

  • Kevan M. Yenerall

摘要

This chapter explains how Donald Trump won the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania in the 2024 presidential election by examining county level results, turnout, and exit polling. Trump’s victory was shaped by strong anti-incumbency sentiment and economic dissatisfaction. This enabled Trump’s campaign to boost turnout in heavily Republican areas, erode Democratic margins in key strongholds and among core constituencies, and make inroads in regions where Republicans are gaining strength and Democrats recede.