Optimal Intensity Measure Selection and Seismic Fragility Assessment of High Arch Dams
摘要
In this paper, a 3D finite element model of the high arch dam-foundation system is established, taking into account the contact nonlinearities at different contact surfaces. Based on the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA), 1000 nonlinear dynamic response analyses are performed accounting for parameter and ground motion uncertainty. Firstly, correlations between various intensity measures (IM) and seismic stability performance evaluation indexes are discussed in terms of efficiency, practicality, proficiency, and goodness-of-fitting. Three optimal IMs i.e., peak ground acceleration (PGA), spectral acceleration at fundamental period (Sa_F) and acceleration spectral intensity (ASI) are chosen. Secondly, different limit states (LS) are quantitatively divided by taking residual sliding displacement (Ures) and sliding area ratio (Acr/A) as seismic stability evaluation indexes. Finally, seismic fragility curves are generated using selected optimal IMs and evaluation indexes. The effect of uncertainties on seismic fragility curves is discussed through comparative analysis. Moreover, the seismic stability of the high arch dam-foundation system is comprehensively evaluated according to seismic fragility curves, which can provide a justified rationale for changing from the determinate method to that based on the probabilistic and statistical framework.