Forecasting the Impact of Indiscipline among Cadets-Sailors on Maritime Safety and Proactive Ways of its Correction
摘要
The safety of shipping is considered everywhere through the prism of the influence of the human factor on decision-making by the Master of the ship. What corresponds to the matching/unmatching of the “person - procedures” blocks of the SHELL ICAO model and, accordingly, in the model of the octagon proposed by the authors, where the matching/ unmatching of the blocks is established, on the one hand, «captain - crew - cross-cultural factors», and on the other hand, «practice - technologies, procedures, rules, etc.» Taking into account the experience of ICAO, an extended list of twenty-one characteristic features of indiscipline was formed, which allows for a more complete and comprehensive study of the mentioned phenomenon in the process of training young sailors. We will consider that indiscipline is a deliberate disregard or improper fulfillment of the established norms of activity / behavior in a specific society, professional or educational. Taking into account the statistics of accidents and disasters, each characteristic feature of indiscipline in the educational process is matched with the interpretation of its manifestation in the process of professional activity on the ship. Examples of real accidents and disasters that occurred as a result of the manifestation of a specific trait of indiscipline are given. Based on the well-known Latin proverb “forewarned, therefore armed” and taking into account the experience of research into the dangers of air traffic controllers’ mistakes, it is proposed to actively correct the indiscipline of young sailors by teaching them to distinguish, remember, and therefore prevent them. What happens due to the construction of individual and group systems of advantages (rankings) on the set of traits of indiscipline. Preference systems are one of the components of the influence of the human factor on decision-making, they are used to further solve the multi-criteria tasks of determining the integrative assessment of indiscipline of each cadet-sailor, establishing “compromises” for the degrees of expressiveness of the studied features of indiscipline, as well as identifying group deformations in the attitude towards it.