Based on the optimal temperatures for the agriculture, industry and service sectors productivity as well as climate projections of the year 2100 under the business as usual path per country, this chapter reveals economic climate winners and losers around the world from now on until the year 2100. Taking a GDP perspective in a simplified model to extend, the world will macroeconomically benefit more from climate change until 2100 than lose. Winning and losing from a warming earth is significantly positively correlated with the Paris COP 21 emissions country percentage of Greenhouse Gas (GHG). The chapter concludes with introducing the climatorial imperative—advocating for the need for fairness in the distribution of the global earth benefits among nations based on Kant’s imperative to only engage in actions one wants to experience being done to oneself. This simplified model to measure the economic short-term gains and losses from climate change is the basis for a refined model presented in the following chapters factoring in risk propensities around the world under global warming. The following model also serves as the basis for redistribution strategies presented in subsequent chapters.

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Global Climate Justice

  • Julia Puaschunder

摘要

Based on the optimal temperatures for the agriculture, industry and service sectors productivity as well as climate projections of the year 2100 under the business as usual path per country, this chapter reveals economic climate winners and losers around the world from now on until the year 2100. Taking a GDP perspective in a simplified model to extend, the world will macroeconomically benefit more from climate change until 2100 than lose. Winning and losing from a warming earth is significantly positively correlated with the Paris COP 21 emissions country percentage of Greenhouse Gas (GHG). The chapter concludes with introducing the climatorial imperative—advocating for the need for fairness in the distribution of the global earth benefits among nations based on Kant’s imperative to only engage in actions one wants to experience being done to oneself. This simplified model to measure the economic short-term gains and losses from climate change is the basis for a refined model presented in the following chapters factoring in risk propensities around the world under global warming. The following model also serves as the basis for redistribution strategies presented in subsequent chapters.