Comparing Left Atrial Spontaneous Echo Contrast Intensity with Gaussian Process Emulator Predictions
摘要
Atrial Fibrillation (AF) significantly increases the risk of ischemic stroke due to blood stasis and hypercoagulability in the left atrium (LA). Effective stroke risk stratification is crucial for identifying AF patients who require anticoagulation therapy. Spontaneous echo contrast (SEC), a phenomenon arising from blood stasis and fibrinogen-mediated red blood cell aggregation, serves as a strong predictor of stroke and can be observed via transesophageal echocardiograms (TEEs). This study employs Gaussian Process Emulators (GPEs) trained on non-Newtonian Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations to predict the occurrence and intensity of LA SEC. Using haematocrit and fibrinogen concentration as inputs, the GPEs compute the average blood viscosity in the left atrial appendage (LAA). We also quantified geometric and functional parameters of the LAA to assess their relative impact on SEC intensity and compared these findings with those in patients without SEC. Our results indicate that both LAA motility and GPE-predicted LAA viscosity can distinguish between SEC and non-SEC groups (p > 0.001). In the SEC cohort, significant correlations were observed between grayscale intensity and LAA motility (r = 0.8), LAA orifice diameter (r = 0.71), and predicted LAA viscosity (r = 0.57). This study demonstrates the potential utility of GPEs for predicting LA SEC, thereby enhancing stroke risk stratification in AF patients. Additionally, we identify key geometric and functional features of the LAA that influence SEC formation.