The digitalization of all areas of activity, including maritime, today is characterized, among other things, by two powerful influencing factors: on the one hand, artificial intelligence (AI) increasingly taking over the most important functions and develops very quickly, and on the other hand, threats and risks related to cybersecurity. The common belief, which is hard to argue against, is that the first factor is positive, because it contributes to developments, and the second is undoubtedly negative, because it hinders developments and can even inhibit them; from here, it is easy to conclude that in order to continue and accelerate progress, the positive aspects of the first factor must be contributed in every way and the fight against the effects of the second factor must be undertaken. But how realistic and consistently achievable are these two goals in interaction? True, in the light of the developments of the last years and even months, it seems that the AI “train” has started its impressive journey at high speed, and nothing can stop it. At the same time, continuing the allegory, there is still a “wagon” of cyber threats attached to this “train,” and getting rid of it or even defeating it to a sufficient extent seems problematic, at least now. The author of this chapter expresses an estimated opinion that as long as people fight against each other on both sides of the “cyber war” (“bad” guys against “good” ones), it is so to say war of attrition, where no glorious victory awaits either side. It seems to the author that it is possible to change the situation and achieve victory over the “bad” guys only if the AI itself takes over its own protection. Whether and to what extent this is possible is one of the main topics of this chapter. In the author’s opinion, there can be any truth behind this only if the AI acquires a large part of the characteristics unique to humans (values, moral principles, emotions, etc.), thanks to which it would be possible to be guided by the specific laws or rules of behavior of the AI. As a classic example, the so-called three laws of robotics, formulated by the American science fiction writer Isaac Asimov about 80 years ago, are based on the principle of avoiding harm to humans (Anderson, Asimov’s “Three Laws of Robotics” and machine metaethics, University of Connecticut, Dept. of Philosophy, Stamford, CT, https://cdn.aaai.org/Symposia/Fall/2005/FS-05-06/FS05-06-002.pdf ). In this chapter, we have analyzed whether such AI developments are possible at all and what threats and difficulties this entails in turn.

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The Future of Cybersecurity at Sea: Human vs Human or AI vs AI?

  • Anatoli Alop

摘要

The digitalization of all areas of activity, including maritime, today is characterized, among other things, by two powerful influencing factors: on the one hand, artificial intelligence (AI) increasingly taking over the most important functions and develops very quickly, and on the other hand, threats and risks related to cybersecurity. The common belief, which is hard to argue against, is that the first factor is positive, because it contributes to developments, and the second is undoubtedly negative, because it hinders developments and can even inhibit them; from here, it is easy to conclude that in order to continue and accelerate progress, the positive aspects of the first factor must be contributed in every way and the fight against the effects of the second factor must be undertaken. But how realistic and consistently achievable are these two goals in interaction? True, in the light of the developments of the last years and even months, it seems that the AI “train” has started its impressive journey at high speed, and nothing can stop it. At the same time, continuing the allegory, there is still a “wagon” of cyber threats attached to this “train,” and getting rid of it or even defeating it to a sufficient extent seems problematic, at least now. The author of this chapter expresses an estimated opinion that as long as people fight against each other on both sides of the “cyber war” (“bad” guys against “good” ones), it is so to say war of attrition, where no glorious victory awaits either side. It seems to the author that it is possible to change the situation and achieve victory over the “bad” guys only if the AI itself takes over its own protection. Whether and to what extent this is possible is one of the main topics of this chapter. In the author’s opinion, there can be any truth behind this only if the AI acquires a large part of the characteristics unique to humans (values, moral principles, emotions, etc.), thanks to which it would be possible to be guided by the specific laws or rules of behavior of the AI. As a classic example, the so-called three laws of robotics, formulated by the American science fiction writer Isaac Asimov about 80 years ago, are based on the principle of avoiding harm to humans (Anderson, Asimov’s “Three Laws of Robotics” and machine metaethics, University of Connecticut, Dept. of Philosophy, Stamford, CT, https://cdn.aaai.org/Symposia/Fall/2005/FS-05-06/FS05-06-002.pdf ). In this chapter, we have analyzed whether such AI developments are possible at all and what threats and difficulties this entails in turn.