Ruling the Skies: The Geopolitics of Drone Proliferation in Africa
摘要
The prevalence of terrorism, armed banditry, and insurgency has led to a precarious security landscape in Africa, prompting the widespread adoption of drones as crucial tools in counterterrorism and counter-banditry efforts. However, the adoption, alongside the establishment of drone bases and the proliferation of drone technology among state actors, is engendering a fresh wave of geopolitical competition among external actors. The interplay of these actors in African battlespace is reshaping supply chain dynamics, particularly in conflict-ridden regions, as they vie to establish the continent as a lucrative market and sphere of influence for drone sales. This chapter provides a focused analysis of the geopolitics surrounding drone sales and exports, with a particular emphasis on the involvement of key actors including Iran, Turkey, China, and the United States, and the spill-over effects for non-state actors. It is the argument of the chapter that the current pattern of drone proliferation for counterterrorism in Africa engenders geopolitical competition, deepens security fragilities among African states, and fosters neo-colonial posturing embedded in the instrumentation of drones for statecraft. As drones proliferate unchecked across Africa’s battlefields, it underscores the urgent need for African leaders to grasp the complex nature of this development and formulate a nuanced strategy that addresses the long-term implications for the region’s political stability and security landscape.