This chapter explores the perception of the future through the lens of historical continuity and change, emphasizing the interplay between past influences and future possibilities. It examines how historical patterns and societal shifts contribute to foresight, blending knowledge with imagination to construct scenarios for strategic planning. Key concepts such as historicism, path dependence, and serendipity are analyzed to reveal the complexities of predicting and shaping future developments. The chapter also introduces frameworks like the futures triangle and discusses the roles of disruptions, weak signals, and wildcards in signaling transformative changes in societal and economic systems.

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Perception of the Future in the Temporal and Historical Continuum

  • Panagiotis E. Petrakis,
  • Giorgos Vasilis,
  • Anna-Maria Kanzola

摘要

This chapter explores the perception of the future through the lens of historical continuity and change, emphasizing the interplay between past influences and future possibilities. It examines how historical patterns and societal shifts contribute to foresight, blending knowledge with imagination to construct scenarios for strategic planning. Key concepts such as historicism, path dependence, and serendipity are analyzed to reveal the complexities of predicting and shaping future developments. The chapter also introduces frameworks like the futures triangle and discusses the roles of disruptions, weak signals, and wildcards in signaling transformative changes in societal and economic systems.