This chapter provides structure and definition to various important aspects of uncertainty. The relationship between uncertainty and determinism is explored and reference is made to quantum indeterminancy and classical system chaosChaos. The impossibility of certainty is stressed and linked to recognition that one's awareness of a given situation is always limited. An example is given from aviation of engineering failure arising from knowledge gaps. The boundedness and dimensionality of uncertainty are considered and more sophisticated methods and tools of analysis are introduced.

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Unpacking Uncertainty

  • William Nuttall,
  • Edoardo Patelli,
  • Ewan Smith,
  • David Webbe-Wood,
  • Simon Middleburgh

摘要

This chapter provides structure and definition to various important aspects of uncertainty. The relationship between uncertainty and determinism is explored and reference is made to quantum indeterminancy and classical system chaosChaos. The impossibility of certainty is stressed and linked to recognition that one's awareness of a given situation is always limited. An example is given from aviation of engineering failure arising from knowledge gaps. The boundedness and dimensionality of uncertainty are considered and more sophisticated methods and tools of analysis are introduced.