Right-Wing Convergence, Progressive Fragmentation, and Media Alignments. Deciphering the Limitations of the Second Peruvian Estallido
摘要
Why did Peru experience massive and effective mobilizations against an authoritarian and conservative coalition in 2020, but not in 2022–2023? This chapter aims to delineate three key differentiating factors between 2020 and 2022. First, there was a convergence of right-wing blocs in opposition to what they perceived as an existential threat: the government of Pedro Castillo. Secondly, the progressive front was fragmenting, and this limited the articulation of the opposition against the new conservative coalition. Finally, the mainstream media aligned itself with the authoritarian coalition, generating a negative framing of the demonstrations towards public opinion. This approach emphasizes the significance of the articulation and alignment of political actors in shaping or constraining opportunities for social mobilization. The evidence supporting the argument was drawn from protest databases, participant observation, news stories, survey data, and the coverage of the 2020 and 2022–2023 protests by the media with the highest weekly offline and online reach in Peru.