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This chapter critically examines the implications of the delayed ratification of the African Union's Protocol on the Free Movement of Persons, focusing on its potential economic and political consequences in the post-COVID-19 era. It argues that the slow ratification process is a significant obstacle to achieve deeper regional integration and economic resilience within the African continent. Through a detailed analysis of scenario planning and forecasting, this chapter explores the divergent paths that African nations might take depending on their commitment to the Protocol. The analysis specifically assesses the impact of different levels of ratification on intra-African trade, labour mobility, and political cohesion, identifying key challenges and opportunities for advancing the continent's integration agenda. By linking the Protocol’s implementation to the success of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), the chapter offers strategic insights to guide policymakers in navigating the complexities of regional mobility and economic recovery in the post-pandemic context.

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The Crossroads of Integration: The Implications of Delayed Ratification of the Free Movement Protocol in Africa in a Post-cOVID-19 Era

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  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Margaret Monyani

摘要

This chapter critically examines the implications of the delayed ratification of the African Union's Protocol on the Free Movement of Persons, focusing on its potential economic and political consequences in the post-COVID-19 era. It argues that the slow ratification process is a significant obstacle to achieve deeper regional integration and economic resilience within the African continent. Through a detailed analysis of scenario planning and forecasting, this chapter explores the divergent paths that African nations might take depending on their commitment to the Protocol. The analysis specifically assesses the impact of different levels of ratification on intra-African trade, labour mobility, and political cohesion, identifying key challenges and opportunities for advancing the continent's integration agenda. By linking the Protocol’s implementation to the success of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), the chapter offers strategic insights to guide policymakers in navigating the complexities of regional mobility and economic recovery in the post-pandemic context.