The Keynesian model, either old or new, has three equations: (i) an IS curve that links the real interest rate and the output gap; (ii) a Phillips curve that shows the relationship between inflation, output gap, expected inflation and past inflation; and (iii) a Taylor rule for monetary policy expressing the nominal rate of interest as a function of the past nominal rate of interest, the natural rate of interest, the inflation gap and the output gap. When the economic policy regime is one of chronic inflation, or hyperinflation, the monetary policy rule gives the amount of money issued to finance a given real public deficit and to close the model it is necessary to specify the demand equation for money.

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Fluctuation and Inflation: Keynesian Models

  • Fernando de Holanda Barbosa,
  • Luiz Antônio de Lima Junior

摘要

The Keynesian model, either old or new, has three equations: (i) an IS curve that links the real interest rate and the output gap; (ii) a Phillips curve that shows the relationship between inflation, output gap, expected inflation and past inflation; and (iii) a Taylor rule for monetary policy expressing the nominal rate of interest as a function of the past nominal rate of interest, the natural rate of interest, the inflation gap and the output gap. When the economic policy regime is one of chronic inflation, or hyperinflation, the monetary policy rule gives the amount of money issued to finance a given real public deficit and to close the model it is necessary to specify the demand equation for money.